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奧巴馬連任美國總統 [復制鏈接]

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只看樓主 倒序閱讀 使用道具 樓主   發表于: 2012-11-05


Obama Wins Re-election With Romney Defeated in Key States
By Mike Dorning - Nov 7, 2012 12:17 PM GMT+0800

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-11-07/obama-wins-re-election-with-romney-defeated-in-key-states.html

Carolyn Kaster/AP Photo
President Barack Obama is embraced by a volunteer as he visits a campaign office on Nov. 6, 2012 in Chicago.

Barack Obama, the post-partisan candidate of hope who became the first black U.S. president, won re-election today by overcoming four years of economic discontent with a mix of political populism and electoral math.
Enlarge image Obama Wins Re-election With Defeat of Romney in Crucial States

Obama defeated Republican Mitt Romney, according to television network projections that show the president winning the electoral votes needed for re-election.

Beginning more than a year ago, Obama and his advisers cast the president as a champion of middle-class opportunity pitted against an opposition party more determined to protect preferences for the wealthy.

“After all that we’ve been through together, we can’t give up now,” Obama told a crowd of 18,000 in Madison, Wisconsin, a day ahead of the election as he made his final campaign swing of the year.

Throughout a volatile Republican nominating contest, Obama’s political team never wavered from the view that its eventual opponent would be Romney, a former private equity executive whom they would portray as an out-of-touch embodiment of moneyed privilege and heartless capitalism.
Identifying Romney

Even before the Republican primary contest ended, as the public was still forming impressions of Romney, Obama and his allies began a campaign to define their opponent.

By summer, they inundated battleground states with commercials featuring layoffs at companies purchased by Romney’s former firm, Bain Capital LLC, as well as his Swiss banks accounts and tax returns showing how he took advantage of breaks not available to most middle-income taxpayers.

Romney didn’t counter with his own aggressive effort to establish an identity with voters as he focused his campaign on turning the election into a referendum on persistent high joblessness. The unemployment rate under Obama exceeded 8 percent for 43 months, the longest period of such high joblessness since the start of monthly records in 1948.

The negative tone of the campaign on both sides was reflected in their advertising. Between April, when Romney clinched his primary victory, and Oct. 28, nearly nine in 10 of all campaign ads -- 87 percent -- were negative, according to New York based Kantar Media’s CMAG.
Changing Electorate

The incumbent started the campaign with an advantage on the electoral map. The ethnic composition of eligible voters shifted in favor of Obama in many critical states since his first election in 2008.

The portion of adult citizens who are members of racial or ethnic minority groups grew by 4 percentage points in Nevada, by 3 percentage points in Virginia, by 2 percentage points in Florida and by 1 percentage point in Ohio and Iowa between 2008 and 2011, according to an analysis of Census data by William Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institution in Washington.

That put states with more electoral votes in the safely Democratic column than in the safely Republican one, and left Romney with fewer potential paths to the 270 electoral votes needed to win election.

Obama’s team took advantage by organizing to motivate supporters in the remaining states considered electoral battlegrounds. In some cases, Obama’s campaign never disbanded its 2008 efforts and early in the 2012 contest it built more field offices and hired professional staff.
Voter Registration

By Election Day, the Obama team claimed to have registered 1.8 million new voters in the battleground states, nearly double the number of new voters the campaign registered four years earlier. By last weekend, 28 percent of those new voters had cast ballots through early voting, the campaign said.

“Don’t wait” to vote, Obama urged a mostly black crowd of 13,500 voters packed into Cincinnati’s Fifth Third Arena Nov. 4. “Who do you trust?” the president asked the crowd, which shouted back “You!” Saying he knows what “real change” is, Obama added: “I delivered it; I’ve got the scars to prove it.”

The geography of the economic recovery also favored the president in the eight swing states that received the most attention from the two campaigns: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Ohio, Nevada, New Hampshire, Virginia and Wisconsin.

In five of those states, joblessness was lower than the national average by September, the most recent month for which state-level unemployment data is available.
Ohio Recovery

In Ohio, a state won by every Republican who’s claimed the White House, unemployment dropped to 7.0 percent by September. The Obama campaign promoted the comeback of the auto industry, which was boosted by a government bailout the president backed. One in eight Ohio jobs is directly or indirectly tied to the auto industry, according to a 2010 report by the Center for Automotive Research in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

And while Romney was traveling in Europe, $1.2 million worth of attack ads played 1,947 times on Ohio TV stations.

The Obama campaign hammered relentlessly at Romney’s opposition to the federal bailout, memorialized in a November 2008 New York Times opinion article the Republican candidate authored entitled “Let Detroit Go Bankrupt.”

A tough anti-immigration stance Romney took in the Republican primaries also contributed to lopsided support for Obama among Latino voters.

As the national economy improved during the election year, it weakened the central theme of Romney’s campaign. A slowdown in job growth in the last spring and early summer kept Romney close; hiring accelerated again as the election approached.

The 7.9 percent October unemployment rate was a full percentage point lower than a year earlier, the biggest 12-month improvement in joblessness over the period during any election year since 1948 except President Ronald Reagan’s 1984 re- election, when unemployment dropped 1.4 percentage points.

The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index surged from 61.3 in August to 72.2 in October, showing consumers in the most optimistic mood since February 2008. Through Nov. 5, the benchmark Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index was up more than 12 percent for the year and more than 66 percent since Obama took office in January, 2009.

To contact the reporter on this story: Mike Dorning in Washington at mdorning@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Mark Silva at msilva34@bloomberg.net
[ 此帖被ODIN在2012-11-07 12:50重新編輯 ]
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只看該作者 1  發表于: 2012-11-05
如果共和黨搵個似樣 d 既人出黎選,奧巴馬可能一早就輸左,唔駛好似而家咁成拉据局面。
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國球旗:如果共和黨搵個似樣 d 既人出黎選,奧巴馬可能一早就輸左,唔駛好似而家咁成拉据局面。[表情]  (2012-11-05 10:42) 

拉据之係表面,我覺得奧巴馬嬴左九成了。


YFF 已死!!這是 Fantrax 的新時代!!
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只看該作者 3  發表于: 2012-11-05
紐約市長彭博 出人意表撐奧巴馬
2012-11-2 13:50:28

[/url][url=http://thehousenews.com/president-election/%E7%B4%90%E7%B4%84%E5%B8%82%E9%95%B7%E5%BD%AD%E5%8D%9A-%E5%87%BA%E4%BA%BA%E6%84%8F%E8%A1%A8%E6%92%90%E5%A5%A7%E5%B7%B4%E9%A6%AC%E9%80%A3%E4%BB%BB/#]http://thehousenews.com/president-election/%E7%B4%90%E7%B4%84%E5%B8%82%E9%95%B7%E5%BD%AD%E5%8D%9A-%E5%87%BA%E4%BA%BA%E6%84%8F%E8%A1%A8%E6%92%90%E5%A5%A7%E5%B7%B4%E9%A6%AC%E9%80%A3%E4%BB%BB/

[url=http://thehousenews.com/president-election/%E7%B4%90%E7%B4%84%E5%B8%82%E9%95%B7%E5%BD%AD%E5%8D%9A-%E5%87%BA%E4%BA%BA%E6%84%8F%E8%A1%A8%E6%92%90%E5%A5%A7%E5%B7%B4%E9%A6%AC%E9%80%A3%E4%BB%BB/#][/url]



無黨派的紐約市市長彭博(Michael Bloomberg),公開支持奧巴馬連任,指奧巴馬在環保問題上比羅姆尼更有承擔。由彭博擁有的Bloomberg Businessweek,亦於同日以It's Global Warming, Stupid作為封面,分析競選雙方對氣候變化問題的立場。風暴Sandy奪走近百人的生命,但亦使奧巴馬獲得對家的認同:不只共和黨頭馬、新澤西州州長Chris Christie不計前嫌高度讚揚奧巴馬,連曾公開表示對奧巴馬失望的無黨派市長,也罕有地表態支持。


美國時間昨日,彭博在個人官方網站上發表文章,支持奧巴馬連任。彭博指,紐約市在14個月內兩次因風暴撤離民眾,極端天氣來襲越發頻繁;全球氣候變化越演越烈,美國需要認真應對事態的最高領導人。奧巴馬在過去四年,積極應對氣候變化,成積有目共睹,包括減少美國的碳排放,提高汽車能源效能、關閉污染最嚴重的燃煤發電廠等。


不滿羅姆尼在環保、墮胎問題轉軚
彭博表示,美國需要堅定的領導人,尤其是在環保這麼重要的議題上。如果今日參選的是昨日那尚未打倒自我的羅姆尼,他會選擇投他一票。羅姆尼亦曾是他的同道中人,在麻省推行總量控制與交易計畫(cap andtrade),本是極有效的環保措施。但羅姆尼後來竟出爾反爾,放棄他親自簽署落實的減排方案。而在移民、槍械管制、墮胎、醫療保障等社會議題上,羅姆尼本來立場明智,但最後均一一自我推翻。


而彭博雖然認為奧巴馬任內與共和黨人刻意對立,使很多重要政策胎死腹中,但他認同奧巴馬在教育、醫保、女性權益、同性婚姻等方面的立場,尤其是他應對全球氣候變化的認真態度,在在都顯示奧巴馬對美國未來的承擔。

When I step into the voting booth, I think about the world I want toleave my two daughters, and the values that are required to guide usthere. The two parties’ nominees for president offer different visionsof where they want to lead America.  One sees climate change as anurgent problem that threatens our planet; one does not. I want ourpresident to place scientific evidence and risk management aboveelectoral politics.
Presidents Bill Clinton and Ronald Reagan both found success whiletheir parties were out of power in Congress – and President Obama can,too. If he listens to people on both sides of the aisle, and builds thetrust of moderates, he can fulfill the hope he inspired four years agoand lead our country toward a better future for my children and yours.And that's why I will be voting for him.
(當我踏入投票站時,我在想的是,希望兩個女兒將來活在什麼樣的世界,為此我們需要堅守什麼價值。兩黨的候選人,對於美國未來的方向,有不一樣的願景。其中一位,視氣候變化為當務之急,明白地球正受到威脅,但另一位不然。我希望美國總統重視的是科學證據及如何控制風險,而非只著眼於選舉和政治。
克林頓及列根總統在任時,他們所屬的黨派在國會是弱勢,但這無礙他們取得成功──奧巴馬總統也可以。若他願意聆聽兩方的聲音,建立起溫和派的信任,他能夠將四年前給予人民的希望轉化為現實,帶領我們的下一代、帶領美國邁向更好的將來。正因為如此,我會投票支持奧巴馬。)

It's Global Warming, Stupid
三屆紐約市長、黨派獨立的彭博,在2008年並沒有公開表明支持哪一位總統候選人。他在獨立選民當中極具影響力,故今屆競選雙方均竭力爭取他的支持,但他不賣帳,更批評奧巴馬及羅姆尼兩人都沒有認清美國所面對的問題。但在風災過後,他出面支持奧巴馬,《紐約時報》以「令人驚訝」形容彭博的行動;奧巴馬陣營發表回應聲明,指得到彭博支持感榮幸。


同日,Bloomberg Businessweek的封面故事〈It's Global Warming,Stupid〉亦是從Sandy講起,談到環保問題與美國政治。該報道引用來自學界、保險業界的報告與數據,指出就算氣候變化與巨型風暴的形成沒有直接關係,它對使風暴增強的外圍因素(如熱浪、乾旱、暴雨、以及今次與Sandy碰撞,使之面積大幅擴大的寒流)有顯著影響,而極端天氣在北美州出現的次數遠較地球上其他地區頻繁。


報道分析競選雙方歷來對環保問題的立場,指羅姆尼貶低其重要性,但亦認為奧巴馬雖有往績,但今次競選的環保承諾虛泛。文末引述最新民調指出,目前認同氣候變化有實証支持的美國民眾正在減少,共和黨人中更有一半認為根本沒有問題。整個美國對全球暖化的敏感度正在減低,美國要應對全球氣候變化問題,缺的不是資金,而是決心。
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freezefox:拉据之係表面,我覺得奧巴馬嬴左九成了。[表情] (2012-11-05 10:43) 

應該唔似一面倒,選票優勢唔大,但應該贏到選舉人票。
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國球旗:
如果共和黨搵個似樣 d 既人出黎選,奧巴馬可能一早就輸左,唔駛好似而家咁成拉据局面。[表情]  


freezefox:

拉据之係表面,我覺得奧巴馬嬴左九成了。[表情]


雖然我都覺得係∼
但我地接觸的media,大部分都偏向obama∼
我有d懷疑羅姆尼的選情被低估∼
尤其是羅姆尼的經濟政策相當有優勢∼∼
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選舉前呢個風更加幫左奧巴馬唔少。


YFF 已死!!這是 Fantrax 的新時代!!
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freezefox:選舉前呢個風更加幫左奧巴馬唔少。 (2012-11-05 10:46) 

有危便有機∼∼
事前大家都好擔心obama比個風影響到∼
但事後佢的確十分出色,彭博出黎支持佢更係幫obama打左支強心針∼
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btw,唔知今年 MC Jin 有冇寫歌比 obama 呢?

2008年的Open Letter to Obama

http://youtu.be/8n8Lufqa3kA
[ 此帖被ODIN在2012-11-05 10:58重新編輯 ]
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freezefox:選舉前呢個風更加幫左奧巴馬唔少。 (2012-11-05 10:46) 

爭取連任既總統係有天時、地利、人和之利,
但奧巴馬喺民調都無優勢,
縱使成功連任都要檢討一下原因。

p.s. title 話 (無咩人理),其實係無咩人願意開 topic 咋。
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國球旗:爭取連任既總統係有天時、地利、人和之利,
但奧巴馬喺民調都無優勢,
縱使成功連任都要檢討一下原因。
....... (2012-11-05 10:51) 

其實仲有一個更重要的係中共十八大會議∼
但相信都係冇咩人理∼∼
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ODIN:其實仲有一個更重要的係中共十八大會議∼
但相信都係冇咩人理∼∼ (2012-11-05 10:56) 

「中共十八大會議」我個人覺得好難理解,因為唔熟中共內部人脈關係。
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國球旗:「中共十八大會議」我個人覺得好難理解,因為唔熟中共內部人脈關係。[表情] (2012-11-05 11:00) 

都係的∼
但大家都期望(or奢望)新一屆領導人o係政制上有大改革∼
習近平一直有睇開香港事務∼
希望佢有d新野帶入去中共政權核心∼
況且,胡溫已經一早ko左薄熙來∼
施政阻力相信會細好多∼
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國球旗:應該唔似一面倒,選票優勢唔大,但應該贏到選舉人票。[表情] (2012-11-05 10:45) 

一定唔會一面倒,因為羅姆尼幾差都好,D鐵票都唔會改變的。共和黨既票只會比番共和黨。


但我唔認為羅姆尼有絲亳勝算。


YFF 已死!!這是 Fantrax 的新時代!!
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ODIN:有危便有機∼∼
事前大家都好擔心obama比個風影響到∼
但事後佢的確十分出色,彭博出黎支持佢更係幫obama打左支強心針∼ (2012-11-05 10:50) 

處理得唔好就會成為被攻擊既把柄。


但其實只要摺高衫袖,走去救災,個個即時既「視覺效果」,基本上你平時幾廢都好,即時都印象分大加。呢件事上,羅姆尼咩都唔可以做,蝕哂章。


臨選舉前幾日先整單咁既野,明益奧尼馬。你話個幾兩個月前,個情況又完全唔同,單野分分鐘成為羅姆尼抽水既成要題材。


YFF 已死!!這是 Fantrax 的新時代!!