特朗普宣布競逐連任　強調要「保持美國強大」 [復制鏈接]

Trump +1.1 in WISCONSIN

Atlas

Trump 49.6
Biden 48.5

Approval: 48%

Trump Black vote: 17%
Trump Hispanic vote: 41%

672 Likely Voters

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"BIDEN FADES", "TRUMP TAKES OVER" IN IOWA ACCORDING TO NEW DES MOINES REGISTER/MEDIACOM POLL

(TRUMP +7)

Trump 48  
Biden 41

"Trump wins back independents"

Sept poll was 47-47

(814 Likely Voters)
(conducted by Selzer & Co.)

Target Met in Florida:

Republicans now trail in the overall early vote in Florida by less than they did in 2016 when Trump won by 113K.

Also, note that Republicans in 2020 are 194,134 registered voters stronger than 2016 (when compared with Dems).

NEW ARIZONA POLL: TRUMP +2.7% IN ARIZONA

Big Data Poll (Baris):  

Trump: 48.0%
Biden 45.3%

Late deciders helping the President in Maricopa

910 Likely Voters (Oct 25-30)

AZ looking increasingly like a Trump hold.

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StatesPoll now has MN tilting Trump. Sees Trump leading in some way in the Rust Belt 4 (MN, WI, MI, PA). Trump at 322 with this map.

"In the Register’s September Iowa Poll, Biden led with independents 50% to 38%. But today, Trump wins them back and leads 49% to 35%."

特朗普賓夕法尼亞連走四場　拜登指對方是時候執包袱

美國大選前最後一個周末，爭取連任的總統特朗普，及挑戰他的民主黨候選人拜登都加緊拉票。拜登到密歇根州出席汽車造勢活動時說，特朗普是時間「執包袱」離開白宮，又指美國已受夠特朗普引發的混亂、失敗、憤怒，以至他的社交專頁帖文，及拒絕承擔責任的態度。前總統奧巴馬為拜登站台，是今屆大選兩人首次同台。奧巴馬比較拜登與特朗普，讚揚拜登照顧他人，有正確的生活態度，而並非為了博取掌聲，只要選民投拜登一票，就能見到白宮展現這種美德。特朗普在賓夕法尼亞州連走四場。他說只要自己在這個州勝出，就能成功連任，又指拜登只識得利用新型肺炎疫情攻擊自己，除此之外再無其他議題。特朗普宣稱美國距離廣泛分發疫苗，只有幾個星期，但他未有交代進一步資料，證實自己的說法。

2020-11-01 15:11:09

sleepy joe

Kevin McCullough
@KMCRadio
Based on sources I’ve come to trust immensely, inside both campaigns, from pollsters that got 2016 right, & for the numerous reasons I’ve opined on The #RedWAve is coming!

I’ve said it for 2 years: A Bigger Win than 2016.
My final map drops Tuesday at 9am EST!

VOTE!

NC
D lead down now to +265,000
(led in 2016 by 310,000, lost by 3.2 points)

Black share down to 19.4% (was 23 when Zero won NC by 1 point), down from 22 in 2016.

BREAKING: Final poll before the election for #DemocracyInstitute #SundayExpress poll: TRUMP is up 4% in *NewHampshire.*

Who had New Hampshire going Trump?

Me!

VOTE!!!!

FL: total Ds lead 95,130 so Rs again chopping that lead bit by bit.

Ds led 96,400 going into election day 2016 when Trump won by 113,000.

BREAKING: @realDonaldTrump is poised to to win #Michigan. He has taken a 4% lead  in the final pre-election poll from #DemocracyInstitute. (They nailed it in 2016.) At 4% the lead is approaching the threshold to be beyond the margin of error. 1,500 likely voters 10/28-10/30

We're seeing a trend:

Big Media is picking a Biden victory much bigger than Obama's 2008 win.

Those who got 2016 right are predicting Trump to win by a bigger electoral margin this time.

Democracy Institute State Polls:

(per Breitbart)

FLORIDA
Trump 49%
Biden  45%

MINNESOTA
Trump 48%
Biden  46%

NEW HAMPSHIRE
Trump 47%
Biden  43%

Wisconsin Early Return Ballots:1,525,415 44% R / 36% D / 20% NP
A: 18-29 3% / 30-39 7% / 40-49 10% / 50-64 26% / 65+ 36%
Asian 1.6% / White 77% / Hispanic 3% / AfAm 3%
HS Diploma 21% / Bach Degree 23% / Grad Degree+ 12%
1st Time Voting/New Regs: 7.6% https://t.co/Zwc2KpkpU2 https://t.co/5vJjgLwynY