A(goat) B(Car) C(goat)
§A¿ïA,B&C ¤¤Car o¬J probability ³£«Y1/3
¦pªG§Achoose A
¶}¥ªC «Ygoat
A ¤¤Car o¬J probability ³£«Y1/3
¦ÓC ¤¤Car o¬J probability ´N¥[¥ª¥hB«×
so B ¤¤Car o¬J probability «Y2/3
ø©úo¬J¸Ü
I have another example
100 boxes,99 Ó¦³bomb,1 Ó¦³10K cash
§Achoose ¨ä¤¤1Ó(e.g. No. 7)
¤§«á¶}¦³bomb oÓ98Ó(e.g. ¶}²bNo.7 ¦PNo.8) boxes
box 8 ¤¤10K cash o¬J probability (99/100)´N¤ñ box 7(1/100) ¦h99¿
¥Î3Óbox ¦n©ö²V²clol
get it?
[ ¥»¤å³Qyipsun¦b2007-07-21 12:57«·s½s¿è ]