特朗普宣布競逐連任　強調要「保持美國強大」 [復制鏈接]

Wow! Never before in NC history have GOP voters led a single a day in early voting over Unaffiliated and Democrat voters. This election? The GOP voters have led eight of the last nine days.

Note this as North Carolina numbers roll in:

In 2016 Trump won NC by 173,315 votes.

Democrats then outnumbered Republicans by 646,246.

Today the D-R gap is 398,953. So Repubs have narrowed the registration gap by 247,293.

Trump is better positioned to win NC now than 2016.

#FL #EarlyVoting D lead already down by 11k in the last 80 min.  Now at 152k and heading south.

#FL #EarlyVoting D Lead is now at 138k, down almost 25k in the last 3.5 hrs.

#FL #EarlyVoting 6pm update. What an incredible day!  D Lead at 114k and down 49k for the day.  I conservatively estimate it'll be in 50-100k range by E eve.  Another milestone set today: We've surpassed 2016 R EV performance in percentage terms!!  Trump wins FL easily, and EC!

Trump +2.5 in Arizona. This is about what our voter registration analysis shows.

StatesPoll updated map. MN now a tossup. Trump at 312.

Florida is the barometer for the election. So far the numbers on the ground look positive for the GOP, even better than 2016.

TargetSmart Early Voting Model 10/31/2020
Florida: REP 46.7% / DEM 46.4% / IND+Other 7%
flipped

Dem advantage just dropped under 100K in FLORIDA

Republicans gained another 50,000 today in Florida. Democrats’ lead has been cut from 430,000 to about 110,000. Republicans have 2 days to pick up 25,000 more to outperform their 2016 numbers. Unless Ds stop the slide this weekend, Biden is in a bind in Florida.

StatesPoll now has MN tilting Trump. Sees Trump leading in some way in the Rust Belt 4 (MN, WI, MI, PA). Trump at 322 with this map.

NEW ARIZONA POLL: TRUMP +2.7% IN ARIZONA

Big Data Poll (Baris):  

Trump: 48.0%
Biden 45.3%

Late deciders helping the President in Maricopa

910 Likely Voters (Oct 25-30)

AZ looking increasingly like a Trump hold.

本身係支持侵侵連任，亦都知道好多poll係已經bias，538民調，主流媒體（除咗fox），連社交媒體fb，Twitter都幫緊Biden；亦問過兩三個住在美國嘅朋友，都係話Trump大機會贏

不過今日走去睇博彩業開盤，係Biden大熱，我一向log in嘅網站都係開出Biden1.53，Trump2.4，所以情況都算係不明朗！

無論如何，三日後等睇成績！