特朗普宣布競逐連任　強調要「保持美國強大」 [復制鏈接]

HUGE turnout for
@realDonaldTrump
in Georgia and Florida!

Rome Rally:

42,067 signups

31.4% NOT Republican

Opa-locka Rally:

14,254 signups

23.9% did not vote in 2016

The enthusiasm is incredible!

星期三準備請半日sick leave睇點票

不過今次咁多mail vote
未必當晚有result+極左玩野

票已投

I should think about it more. I guess FL is between
Toss up ~Tilt Trump     

Changes
MN President: Tilt Trump -> Tilt Biden
MN Senate: Tilt R -> Lean D
NC Gov: Lean D -> Tilt R

Wait little bit

其實都係果堆重點州分


FL:29
PA:20
AZ:11
MN: 10
WI:10
MI:16
NC:15
VA:13
GA:16
NV:6

The straightest electoral path to 270 for Trump is the Core 3 + 1

Core 3: FL, NC, AZ
+1:  one of MN, WI, MI, PA

As referenced on the Rush Limbaugh show last week, we believe Trump will win the Core 3. Per our last tweet we see Trump winning PA, thus securing the Core 3 + 1.

We will comment later on the other Rust Belt states. PA won't be the only Rust Belt state we predict for Trump.

Republicans have huge voter registration gains in FL, NC, and PA from 2016.

This gets drowned out in all the POLLS POLLS POLLS talk.

People/pollsters we trust are saying Trump will win North Carolina by 2%. Our voter registration analysis is more optimistic.

Repubs have narrowed the D-R registration gap by 247,293 since 2016. (in 2016 Trump won NC by 173K)

We predict a 3.5 to 5% Trump victory here.

We were expecting Trump would be around 46-48% in presidential approval for the election.

That he's in the 50-52 range going into Election Day has surprised us a little.

Democracy Institute: 52%
Gravis: 52%
Rasmussen Reports: 52%
The Hill/Harris X: 49%
Gallup: 46%

Oct 29-now

North Carolina Voter Data

2008 Dem Voter edge over Rep: 864,253
Obama win: 0.32%

2012 D edge: 818,443
Romney win: 2.04% (+2.36% for Rep from 08)

2016 D edge: 646,246
Trump win: 3.66% (+1.62% for R from 12)

2020 D edge: 398,953 (Rep close gap by 247,293 from 16)
Result: ??

羅力亞:星期三準備請半日sick leave睇點票[表情]
不過今次咁多mail vote
未必當晚有result+極左玩野[表情]  (2020-11-02 16:00) 

美國大選投票日　路透料結果未必在結束後數小時內出爐

今日是美國大選投票日，全美已經有破紀錄的超過9700萬人，透過親身或郵寄提早投票，是上屆大選總投票人數的超過三分二。爭取連任的總統特朗普，與民主黨總統候選人拜登，在選前最後一日盡最後努力拉票。多項民調顯示，拜登在全國及主要關鍵州的支持度仍然領先。特朗普出席競選活動時，提醒民眾上屆大選他的支持度落後，但最終仍然勝出，又繼續批評部分州延長接收郵寄選票的時間，形容情況非常危險。一直批評郵寄選票會造成選舉舞弊的特朗普又透露，將會與律師嘗試阻止賓夕法尼亞州繼續點算投票結束後收到的選票。拜登就批評特朗普是弱者，國家未來掌握在選民手上。他又向黑人選民說，會解決混亂、種族主義、仇恨與不負責任。對於特朗普表示，若果成功連任，可能解僱國家過敏症和傳染病研究所所長福奇，拜登唱反調，表示如果成功入主白宮，會聘請福奇。路透社報道，由於提前投票的包括6000萬張郵寄選票，因此某些州可能要幾日甚至幾星期，才可以完成點票，意味大選結果未必會在投票結束後的數小時內出爐。白宮發言人麥克納尼表示，特朗普將會與多名顧問留在白宮觀看開票結果。由於憂慮投票後的局勢，多個城市的建築物外，包括首都華盛頓白宮及紐約的百貨公司，近日都加固門窗或加設圍欄。

2020-11-03 07:54:10 (1)

半日應該唔夠